Albert Einstein supposedly once said: “No one can win at roulette unless he steals money from the table while the croupier isn’t looking.”

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The 100% Sure Win Roulette System - RouletteForum.cc Articles

The first thing to understand is roulette is not the same between different casinos. The type of roulette is the first consideration. For example, there’s random number generator roulette, which doesn’t use any physical wheel. The winning numbers are determined by a random number generator. None of these are guaranteed to make you win at roulette whatever anyone says. Some though are sensible betting systems which can help you win by playing with some discipline. Whether this takes away some of the fun and spontaneity from what is basically just a game of chance is for you to decide.

Although I wouldn’t normally question Einstein, this statement isn’t true. In fact, you can use Einstein’s specialist subject, physics, to help you win. Or you can find a biased wheel that makes some numbers more likely to come up.

What Einstein actually meant was that there is no mathematical trick that can help you win at roulette. Each spin is an independent trial and, in the long run, the casino will win. This is different to a game such as Blackjack where the probabilities change as cards are dealt.

But some believe that it is possible to exploit the way the roulette wheel, and the betting cloth, is laid out to give themselves an advantage. The idea is that you can make bets on the layout in a way that you are guaranteed to win. But is this really possible?

Roulette wheel layout

Like a dartboard, the layout of a roulette wheel did not come about by accident. It was carefully planned and exhibits certain properties. In fact, there are two different layouts. An American wheel and a European wheel. The two layouts are shown below.

Notice that the American wheel has two zeroes. This is important as it doubles the advantage for the casino. On a European wheel you would expect to lose, in the long run, 2.7% of any money you bet with. On an American wheel you can expect to lose 5.26% (if you are interested in the mathematics of roulette, the video at the end will show you how these odds are calculated).

The numbers are arranged in a different order on each wheel but there are some similarities in the patterns. On both wheels, the red and black numbers alternate around the wheel, although if you removed the zeroes, the American wheel would have consecutive reds and blacks. The wheels are also structured so that the low numbers (1-18) and the high numbers (19-36) should alternate as much as possible.

On a European wheel, this is only violated where the 5 sits next to the 10 (both low numbers). On the American wheel, there are many examples where this rule is violated. It is for this reason that the American wheel is considered not as balanced as the European wheel. Both wheels also try to distribute odd and even numbers as evenly as possible. But again there are a number of violations of this rule on both wheels.

On the European wheel there are two other interesting symmetries. First, all the low red numbers and black high numbers are on one side of the zero, and the high red numbers and low black numbers are on the other side. Second, the sequence 29-7-28-12-35-3-26-0-32 contains no numbers between 13 and 24 (the second dozen). You can place a bet on the whole of the second dozen, with odds of 2-1.

So, can we beat the maths?

A simple search on Google will return many (possibly millions) of systems for playing (and supposedly winning) roulette. Some easy, some complicated, some well described, some not so.

A system should really be a combination of a playing strategy and a money management strategy. Perhaps the best known money management strategy is the Martingale system. This system is guaranteed to win money as long as you have enough of a bankroll to double your bet after every loss and you do not hit the table limit, which you will quickly do so. The Martingale system is probably the quickest way to bankruptcy known to man.

Whatever betting strategy, and money management strategy, you choose, they all suffer from the same fate. Assuming that each number on the wheel has the same probability of being selected – meaning the wheel is not biased – the maths means the casino will always win. The system may look good, and may work in the short term, but when one of the numbers comes up that you have not bet on you will lose and the casino will move towards its win expectation (2.7% or 5.26%).

Some systems involve betting on many numbers, perhaps 20. In this case, you will win quite often as you are covering more than half of the numbers. But when one of the numbers does not turn up (and it will almost half the time) you lose all of the 20 bets you have made. This will often wipe out any wins to date.

Any system, so far devised, can be analysed to show that there is a win expectation for the casino. The following video shows the maths.

You might as well place a single chip on the same number every time and hope that it appears more than it should during the short time that you are playing.

We can dress up the layout of the wheel, the layout of the betting cloth, our number selection and our money management system however we like, but the maths is always there, quietly working against us. You might as well just have fun, pick random numbers and trust to Lady Luck. Either that, or do as Einstein suggested and steal chips (not that we’d recommend it).

Nobody likes risk, unless you are seeking a thrill. Certainly when it comes to money, we all want to minimize risk. Hence why you are searching for a sure win roulette system.

I’m going to tell you how it is, which is not necessarily what you want to hear. The truth isn’t always convenient. Any website that tells you roulette can be beaten 100% of the time is “not being honest”. You probably guessed I’m not going to say roulette can be beaten every time. That isn’t exactly the case. There’s a lot more to the story as I will explain on this page.

Does a 100% Guaranteed Roulette System Exist?

The simple answer is yes in some cases, but no in most cases. It’s a technical question. It depends on many variables.

The first thing to understand is roulette is not the same between different casinos. The type of roulette is the first consideration.

Guaranteed Way To Win At Roulette

For example, there’s random number generator roulette, which doesn’t use any physical wheel. The winning numbers are determined by a random number generator. So essentially it is a slot machine, the real roulette wheel.

In other cases, the roulette wheel may be physically real, but spun by automated mechanisms. An example of this is the Cammegh Slingshot.

The roulette you usually encounter in real casinos involves a real physical wheel, and a live dealer. What can be achieved on each type of roulette is discussed below.

Random Number Generator Roulette

Remember this isn’t real roulette. It is just a slot machine with fancy roulette animations. The reason you generally lose on slot machines is because of the discrepancy between odds and payout. This is otherwise known as the house edge.

The typical example I use to explain the house edge is as follows: on the European wheel there are 37 pockets. So the odds of winning on a single pocket is 1 in 37. However, the payout is 35 to 1. This payout is below the odds, therefore it’s unfair. Essentially even when you win, you still lose because the payout is unfair. This is how the casino gradually erodes your bankroll.

To profit consistently, you must win more frequently than with random bets. Another way of saying it is you need to increase the accuracy of predictions. Yet another way of saying it is you need to increase your odds.

Random number generators are specifically designed to produce random outcomes. They are designed to be unpredictable. So if your system is something like “wait for 5 reds nn a row, then bet black”, you are going to lose. It doesn’t matter what patterns you think you see, it’s just your mind playing tricks.

So is there any sure or guaranteed way of beating RNG roulette? Yes, but only if the software that generates random numbers is flawed. This may be a result of poor design. You would think that significant flaws only occur with low-grade software, from smaller companies. But there have been cases of enormous multi-billion-dollar companies that released flawed random number generator software in slot machines. This was exploited by Russian hackers, who made a fortune in a short amount of time. The problem still exists with some of the slot machines, although they may have since been replaced. So this is at least proof that random number generators can be flawed and exploited.

However, it takes a great deal of statistical analysis to uncover flaws. In the case of the Russian hackers, they actually purchased the slot machines in question. This allowed them to thoroughly study the machine. If you were to apply the same statistical analysis at online casinos, you would need to spend probably tens of thousands of dollars at the casino to have enough data. And even then, there’s a very slim chance you would uncover any flaw.

Assuming the spins from random number generators are properly random, it is not possible to overcome the house edge. This means that house edge remains at -2.7% for European wheels, and -5.26% for American wheels. See gamerules.com for details on rules of other games.

Real Wheel Roulette

Real wheels are very different because they involve real physics. Instead of being random, there are numerous anomalies that make roulette spins predictable. Again this only applies to real physical wheels.

Where the ball lands on a real wheel depends on physical variables, such as the rotor and ball speeds. These can be physically measured, which in turn can predict where the ball is most likely to land. Prediction accuracy may not be perfect, but doesn’t need to be.

Even with only slightly accurate predictions, it’s quite easy to overcome the house edge. Professional roulette strategies are capable of achieving edges over 80%. This doesn’t mean you win 100% of the time though.

Let’s put it into perspective. Consider again the European wheel, which has 37 pockets. If you average 1 win every 15 spins, this is an enormous edge over the casino. But it would still be impossible to win on 100% of the spins. After all, there is always an element of luck.

Although the casino has a normal 2.7% edge over players, it’s still possible the casino loses money from time to time. After all, some players may get lucky. In fact the casino counts on this, to encourage difficulties in place to continue playing.

Understanding Statistical Variance

Let’s assume you have a very high edge over the casino. Because anything can happen in the short term. Even with a strong edge over the casino, you may still lose. Again this is the same case for a casino, which normally has the edge over players. Even when a casino makes a loss, they know over time they’ll make back losses. Even when casinos offer bonuses, they are carefully weighted to ensure they don’t lose money. Visit casino-bonus.com to understand how bonuses work.

My point is technically it’s not 100% guaranteed that casinos will profit. This is again because anything can happen in the short term stop over the long-term, it’s extremely close to 100% guaranteed that the casino will profit. This is exactly the same case with you, as the player. That is if you have an edge of the casino.

So if you have a legitimate edge over the casino, the more you play, the closer to 100% guaranteed profits you’ll get. This is at least in theory, because we’re not considering the possibility that the casino can ban you if they suspect you of being a professional player.